Wet weekend and next weekend, but tropical development very unlikely.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
597 (Milton),
US Major:
597 (Milton),
FL Any:
597 (Milton),
FL Major:
597 (Milton)
cieldumort
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Posts: 2666
Loc: Austin, Tx
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Re: 2010 Season Arriving Soon, Special Tropical Weather Outlook Issued
Tue Jun 01 2010 03:25 AM
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Think that broadly-speaking there really was a fairly persistent mlc associated with the ongoing convection, but that Agatha just passed into the Caribbean too severely decoupled to take advantage of the limited window to pull itself back together. x-Agatha's mlc/convective complex kept gaining forward speed, while whatever pathetic swirl was left of the llc could be seen still languishing off the coast - just to the east of northern Belize in the far western Caribbean, continuing to spin down, and long-ago stripped bare of any convection.
It may be interesting to keep an eye on the bit of trofiness left in its place, but any complete regeneration at this point is a super long shot, would probably be more related to other events taking place, and as such this disturbance would no longer be considered "Agatha" - and again, a real, real long shot, at that.
It's been curious to watch, tho - only rarely get to see east pac features cross into the Caribbean.
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