Initial Conditions numbers for the 00Z data/model runs had a 1006mb low (think thats the lowest with 93L so far) with a direction of 265 and movement of 7kts... so i think the system if slowly organizing... 93L has changed direction and speed for a short period i think... a turn back the NW should start again in the morning.
Latest sats still show IMO that the surface COC is still to the west of the deep convection... question is now will new convection fire? I'm not sure... i wanna say yes, but i still see shear in the general area or atleast to the NW of COC that may cause 93L from firing up in the next few hrs...
-------------------- www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Re: Wave in Central Caribbean Still Slowly Developing
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