Area of Interest - TD1 North of the Honduras Coast

Alex has again regained tropical storm strength and is located on the western coast of the Yucatan about 55 to 60 miles southwest of Campeche, Mexico, near 19.2N 91.1W at 28/00Z. The system has been almost stationary for a couple of hours.

Changes are taking place in the Gulf of Mexico. Windshear has been on a rapid decline over just about the entire Gulf - and so have the westerly winds. Steering currents are becoming rather weak and a compression trough (for want of a better way to describe it) is creating a weakness in the western extension of the Atlantic ridge from Alex literally all the way to Cape Hatteras.

An upper level low (formerly Invest 94L) near 23N 68W at 28/00Z may have had more to do with the breakdown in the ridge than any other feature, as it continues to doggedly retrograde westward.

The weakening shear should allow Alex to restrengthen but the collapse of any realistic steering currents is going to make for a problematic future track - and its certainly likely to be a slow go. Even if Alex should strengthen considerably, the upper level winds are just as weak, so Alex might wander around for awhile.
ED

Post Extras

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 199531 Years of Hurricanes Without the Hype - Since 1995

News

⚠ Current Storms

Communication

Storm Data

Content

Follow & Connect