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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO LIKELY TO BECOME BERTHA. TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 648 (Milton), US Major: 648 (Milton), FL Any: 648 (Milton), FL Major: 648 (Milton)
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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
System Approaching Nicaragua
      Mon Aug 02 2010 07:50 PM

I checked it out and that is the tropical wave currently approaching Nicaragua, so I'll assume that you meant to say western Caribbean. NHC expects that wave to move inland - if it hasn't done so already - so I can't figure out what the GFS did what it did. Here is a link to the steering currents (from SSEC, University of Wisconsin) that certainly supports the NHC expectation. I wouldn't worry about it - just an anomaly with the 18Z GFS that hopefully will not repeat on the 00Z run.
ED

SSEC Steering Currents

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Depression #4 Forms in Central Atlantic lonelymike Mon Aug 02 2010 07:50 PM
. * * System Approaching Nicaragua Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2010 07:50 PM
. * * Re: System Approaching Nicaragua lonelymike   Mon Aug 02 2010 07:53 PM
. * * Re: System Approaching Nicaragua Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 02 2010 08:40 PM
. * * Re: System Approaching Nicaragua Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2010 12:44 AM
. * * Models? EaglezFan42   Mon Aug 02 2010 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Models? lonelymike   Tue Aug 03 2010 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Models? lonelymike   Tue Aug 03 2010 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Models? MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 03 2010 09:27 PM

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