I think by this coming up Monday (or possibly Sunday?) there will be two areas to watch for development. The first is the possible redevelopment of TD 5 as it re-curves back into the Gulf of Mexico. If it does manage to get back into the gulf as the models show, it appears that it would have a limited/hard time to get going due to the proximity to land. Just as I am typing this, the 12z GFS shows the remnants flaring up into a very strong tropical storm or hurricane heading into SE Texas by Wednesday morning, so you never know. The second area that I think will be worth watching is the area in the SW Caribbean. The NAM hints @ development of this area in the next 3 or 4 days along with NOGAPS. This would be another Yucatan-type system if it were to develop. With all this said, I have a feeling that the tropical activity will pick up this next week through the end of August.
-------------------- 2011 Season Forecast: 16/09/04
2011 Systems: 10/01/01
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Re: Week of 15 Aug 2010 - New Development
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The second area that I think will be worth watching is the area in the SW Caribbean. The NAM hints @ development of this area in the next 3 or 4 days along with NOGAPS. This would be another Yucatan-type system if it were to develop. With all this said, I have a feeling that the tropical activity will pick up this next week through the end of August.
