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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 270 (Idalia) , Major: 270 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 270 (Idalia) Major: 270 (Idalia)
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danielwAdministrator
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Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?
      Sun Aug 15 2010 08:08 AM

Very good presentation/ explanation of what X TD 5 is doing and is forecast to do. Might belong in the forecast lounge, but system is somewhat current.

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 350 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2010

(excerpt~danielw)

...THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN NEXT 30 HOURS AS GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO
SHIFT LOW PRES INTO THE NE GULF COASTS MON MORNING THEN DRIFT IT
W AND ACROSS SE LOUISIANA THROUGH TUE EVENING BEFORE TURNING NW
AND COMPLETELY INLAND ACROSS SW LA TUE NIGHT-WED MORNING. GFS
CONTINUES TO BE VERY AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS LOW AND DEEPENS IT MON
NIGHT INTO TUE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. CANADIAN IS SOMEWHAT
SIMILAR AND A BIT FARTHER S IN TRAJECTORY WHILE REMAINDER OF
MODELS HAVE SIMILAR MOTION BUT DO NOT SHOW NEAR THE
STRENGTHENING. THIS LOW IS PERSISTING UNDERNEATH AN UPPER LEVEL
HIGH AND WILL MOVE SW THEN W WITHIN THE INNER PERIPHERY OF THIS
UPPER ANTICYCLONE AS IT MOVES OVER WATER. WE ARE MONITORING THIS
SYSTEM DURING ITS EVOLUTION NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT STILL REMAIN ON
THE CONSERVATIVE SIDE ATTM UNTIL SOME DEFINITIVE IMPROVED
STRUCTURE IS EVIDENT IN STLT OR RADAR. WILL CONTINUE TO GO WITH
15-20 KT WINDS ON S AND SE QUADS OF THIS LOW AS IT MOVES ACROSS
THE N CENTRAL GULF MON THROUGH TUE...

http://weather.cod.edu/kamala/TPC/latest.agxx40.KNHC.html

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Watching Wave 95L for Next Week Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Aug 15 2010 08:08 AM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again typhoon_tip   Sat Aug 21 2010 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again WeatherNut   Sat Aug 21 2010 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 19 2010 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again berrywr   Wed Aug 18 2010 01:17 AM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again Fairhopian   Wed Aug 18 2010 12:30 AM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 17 2010 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again WesnWylie   Tue Aug 17 2010 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again berrywr   Tue Aug 17 2010 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again scottsvb   Tue Aug 17 2010 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again allan   Tue Aug 17 2010 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again Fairhopian   Tue Aug 17 2010 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 17 2010 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Basin On Hold Again WesnWylie   Tue Aug 17 2010 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - 16/2230Z berrywr   Tue Aug 17 2010 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - 16/2230Z Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 16 2010 11:45 PM
. * * Remnants of TD5 - 16/2230Z berrywr   Mon Aug 16 2010 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - 16/2030Z danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 16 2010 08:48 PM
. * * Remnants of TD5 - 16/1930Z berrywr   Mon Aug 16 2010 07:32 PM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 16 2010 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/04Z Hugh   Mon Aug 16 2010 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/0930Z berrywr   Mon Aug 16 2010 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/04Z danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 16 2010 04:28 AM
. * * Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/04Z berrywr   Mon Aug 16 2010 03:56 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 16 2010 03:02 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 Hugh   Mon Aug 16 2010 12:56 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 WesnWylie   Mon Aug 16 2010 12:53 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 Hugh   Mon Aug 16 2010 12:43 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 15 2010 11:58 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 Hugh   Sun Aug 15 2010 11:46 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 15 2010 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 Hugh   Sun Aug 15 2010 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 15 2010 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? Hugh   Sun Aug 15 2010 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? Hugh   Sun Aug 15 2010 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? DestinFisherman   Sun Aug 15 2010 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 15 2010 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? Hugh   Sun Aug 15 2010 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 15 2010 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 15 2010 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? Hugh   Sun Aug 15 2010 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 15 2010 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? DestinFisherman   Sun Aug 15 2010 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? Hugh   Sun Aug 15 2010 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? mwillis   Sun Aug 15 2010 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? Hugh   Sun Aug 15 2010 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? orlandoweather   Sun Aug 15 2010 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? WesnWylie   Sun Aug 15 2010 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? Hugh   Sun Aug 15 2010 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? WesnWylie   Sun Aug 15 2010 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? Hugh   Sun Aug 15 2010 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 15 2010 08:08 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 15 2010 07:46 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? berrywr   Sun Aug 15 2010 06:01 AM
. * * Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa MichaelA   Sat Aug 14 2010 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 14 2010 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? MichaelA   Sat Aug 14 2010 03:07 PM
. * * Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong? berrywr   Sat Aug 14 2010 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 14 2010 12:00 PM
. * * Re: TD5 Remnants - Redevelopment in GOM? WesnWylie   Fri Aug 13 2010 11:37 PM
. * * TD5 Remnants - Redevelopment in GOM? berrywr   Fri Aug 13 2010 08:45 PM
. * * Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa MichaelA   Fri Aug 13 2010 08:13 PM

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