Quote: Actually in a way you were both correct. There was a recenter at 09Z, but from 09Z till 12Z the latitude was unchanged at 14.8N - and Danielle moved west at 20mph during those three hours. ED
Thanks Ed ... Yes, I noted that behavior too but figured it was a protracted minor issue to get into it...
I am actually interesting (somewhat) in the fact that the guidance would have had this moving WNW by now and to the best of my ability I see a near straight west motion over the last 6 hours. 6 hours ago the perceived center was between the 15th and 16th parallels, and that is still where it is now.
Probably this is a system destined to eye candy and nothing more. The only other solution I can imagine is if the weakness somehow proves inadequate to pull it up, then the subtropical ridge amplification associated withe MA/NE heat wave later in the weekend would pin it into the SW Atlantic Basin as a drifter.
System behind this one is flared higher interest at NHC at this point, as well.