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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL

Re: Gaston Forecast Lounge
Sun Sep 05 2010 02:37 PM

At 18Z, the Gaston system was located near 17.1N 52.3W and convection was starting to wrap around the center. Although the system is still quite weak, the developmental environment is becoming a little more favorable as shear begins to decline.

Models offer a variety of solutions, and because of that uncertainty, the eventual strength and track is still uncertain - except near term motion toward the west seems like a certainty. SHIP and the BAM suite develop the system into a hurricane just south of Puerto Rico in three days. The 05/12Z GFDL takes the system well to the south of Hispaniola as a tropical storm while the 05/18Z UKMET brings the system close to southern Jamaica. Finally, the 05/12Z HWRF take the system along the south coast of Puerto Rico, then through the Mona Passage to just off the north coast of the Dominican Republic as a tropical storm in 5 days.
ED

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Gaston Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Sun Sep 05 2010 02:37 PM
Re: Gaston Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Sun Sep 05 2010 02:37 PM
Re: Gaston Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Sun Sep 05 2010 05:55 PM
Re: Gaston Forecast Lounge	doug	Mon Sep 06 2010 08:41 AM
Re: Gaston Forecast Lounge	Jasonch	Mon Sep 06 2010 10:24 AM
Re: Gaston Forecast Lounge	doug	Mon Sep 06 2010 11:18 AM
Re: TD9 Forecast Lounge	Wingman51	Wed Sep 01 2010 10:57 AM
Re: TD9 Forecast Lounge	weatherpilot	Thu Sep 02 2010 11:45 PM
Re: TD9 Forecast Lounge	vaughn	Fri Sep 03 2010 09:26 AM
Re: TD9 Forecast Lounge	Jasonch	Fri Sep 03 2010 10:13 AM
Re: TD9 Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Fri Sep 03 2010 07:55 PM
Re: TD9 Forecast Lounge	flanewscameraman	Sat Sep 04 2010 08:23 AM
Re: TD9 Forecast Lounge	vaughn	Sat Sep 04 2010 07:57 PM
Re: TD9 Forecast Lounge	vonkamp	Fri Sep 03 2010 09:34 AM
Re: TD9 Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Sep 03 2010 10:05 AM
Re: TD9 Forecast Lounge	StormHound	Fri Sep 03 2010 09:50 AM

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