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NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One (formerly AL90) located over southern Texas, at 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC).

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 614 (Milton), US Major: 614 (Milton), FL Any: 614 (Milton), FL Major: 614 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

Random Chaos
Weather Analyst

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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland

Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4
Fri Sep 17 2010 12:55 AM

Whoa - look at the change in IR in the last 2 hours on Karl! Clearly defined eye visible on IR with very deep convection covering about 60% of the CDO.

Recon is maybe 20-30 minutes out of another eye pass, but UW-CMISS ADT Adjusted T number is up to 5.9, or in other words a storm capable of sustaining 115kt winds, or potentially a maximum strength of a minimal Category 4 storm. Note that this is the theoretical maximum strength, and it takes time for the winds to catch up with structural changes and pressure drops.

I would not be surprised if NHC issued a special advisory following the recon pass given how close to shore Karl is.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Focus Toward Igor and Bermuda	MikeC	Fri Sep 17 2010 12:55 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	k___g	Sun Sep 19 2010 09:08 PM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	k___g	Sat Sep 18 2010 10:21 PM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	MikeC	Sat Sep 18 2010 03:46 PM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	MikeC	Sat Sep 18 2010 02:17 PM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	MikeC	Sat Sep 18 2010 11:08 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	mikethewreck	Sat Sep 18 2010 10:04 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	MikeC	Sat Sep 18 2010 09:24 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	mikethewreck	Fri Sep 17 2010 11:47 AM
Karl Pressure rise	danielw	Fri Sep 17 2010 11:06 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	Ed Dunham	Fri Sep 17 2010 09:23 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	MikeC	Fri Sep 17 2010 08:54 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	danielw	Fri Sep 17 2010 08:52 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	danielw	Fri Sep 17 2010 08:30 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	vineyardsaker	Fri Sep 17 2010 08:22 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	MikeC	Fri Sep 17 2010 07:34 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	BTfromAZ	Fri Sep 17 2010 04:56 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	Storm Hunter	Fri Sep 17 2010 01:51 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	Random Chaos	Fri Sep 17 2010 01:40 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	Storm Hunter	Fri Sep 17 2010 01:17 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	Random Chaos	Fri Sep 17 2010 12:55 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	MikeC	Thu Sep 16 2010 09:47 PM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	typhoon_tip	Thu Sep 16 2010 08:16 PM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	Ed Dunham	Thu Sep 16 2010 12:48 PM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	WeatherNut	Thu Sep 16 2010 12:30 PM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	Random Chaos	Thu Sep 16 2010 08:03 AM
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4	JoshuaK	Thu Sep 16 2010 07:40 AM

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