Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The Atlantic is quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
TD16 Forecast Lounge
      Sun Sep 26 2010 02:28 PM

A weak low pressure system is evident in the western Caribbean Sea well to the southeast of Cozumel, Mexico, near 18.4N 84.6W at 26/18Z. Most of the convection is located well to the east of the center. The system is currently moving to the northwest, however as it develops better structure upper level winds should prompt more of a northward motion toward western Cuba. The system is under northwesterly windshear so only slow development seems reasonable and initially the system could take on more of a subtropical appearance. SSTs in the area are about 28.5C. Since the system appears rather weak, the current center may only be transient in nature.

Some of the models move a moderate system out of the western Caribbean Sea northward across western Cuba on Tuesday, over south Florida on Wednesday and off the Florida east coast on Thursday. Given the slow evolution of this system, while the track seems reasonable, the timing is still subject to reconsideration. If the system moves slower, a stronger system could develop. At this time there are no real indicators that point to the development of a strong cyclone and over the past 24 hours most of the models have backed off on intensity. Since the timeframe for any necessary preparation is only a few days away, this potential development area needs to be monitored closely by residents in the Yucatan, western Cuba and southern Florida.
ED

Edited by Ed Dunham (Tue Sep 28 2010 11:05 AM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD16 Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Sep 26 2010 02:28 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge CDMOrlando   Sun Sep 26 2010 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge isobar   Sun Sep 26 2010 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Mon Sep 27 2010 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge allan   Mon Sep 27 2010 02:56 PM
. * * Re: TD16 Forecast Lounge isobar   Mon Sep 27 2010 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Sun Sep 26 2010 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge Wingman51   Mon Sep 27 2010 01:13 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge isobar   Sun Sep 26 2010 03:07 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 7 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 9949

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center