...SPECIAL FEATURES... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH ACCOMPANYING SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE W CARIBBEAN SEA SW OF OF GRAND CAYMAN. AT 20/0900 UTC A PARTIALLY EXPOSED 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N83W. SCATTERED/HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF THE LOW FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 78W-82W INCLUDING THE WESTERN TIP OF JAMAICA. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD LEAD TO THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...THUS THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
Read "partially exposed 1008mb Low"
Excerpt from Trop. Weather Outlook: ...AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER THIS MORNING. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
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Re: Modest Chance for Development of West Caribbean Wave
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