While still weak the outflow is impressive for a storm that has yet to find a true center to wrap around. She's got a small window to gain some strength before running into plenty of obstacles in the form of dry air, plus mountains. Looks 50/50 to me... I still think she has much chance as falling completely apart as she does spinning up into a stronger TS. The factors for intensification are there, just too sloppy near the core to make it happen right now.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for: David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22