MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Watching Wave in Central Atlantic and Low off Florida
Sun Aug 07 2011 08:20 AM
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2 PM EDT 10 August 2011 Update
92L is still being tracked, and odds currently favor a recurve out to sea, but there is still several days to watch this system. Recon is tentatively scheduled to check it out Saturday.
Another area, close to Florida with no invest tag yet, is moving generally east and northeast will be watched, but impacts to land also seem slim.
7 AM EDT 9 August 2011 Update
Emily has one last shot at regeneration in the Central Atlantic it seems, with a 20% chance of re-development. It is still generally heading out to sea and is only a minor shipping threat.
The wave east of Africa fell apart and is no longer being tracked as invest 92L, but the area associated with it will be monitored to see what occurs as it moves toward the Caribbean into next week.
7 AM EDT 8 August 2011 Update
Emily has been downgraded to an open wave once more, and is no longer being tracked.
The only thing worth watching at the moment is the wave starting to enter the Central Atlantic, called 92L. This system may develop later this week, but in the next day or so, not likely.
Other areas to watch later in the week that don't have much chance are a weak wave east of the Leeward islands, and anything dropping into the Gulf or Atlantic from over the US. Neither which are likely to do much. There are signs activity will pick up some toward the end of the month though.
But for the next few days, it is pretty quiet in the Atlantic tropics.
Original Update
Tropical Depression Emily is heading generally out to sea, and is looking fairly ragged, it is likely to become an open wave again, or merge with a front. Emily is essentially over with.
In the far east Atlantic we have a new wave off Africa to watch during the week, this system designated 92L by the best track system, is likely to head west. Development in the near term is unlikely, but as it reaches the central and western Atlantic it gets a bit higher. We'll track it this week, as recurve chances are about 50/50 right now. See the lounge for more speculation on this.
{{StormLinks|92L|92|6|2011|1|92L (Mid Atlantic Wave)}}
{{StormLinks|93L|93|7|2011|1|93L (East Atlantic Wave)}}
Long term wide area Water Vapor Satellite recording of 92L(flhurricane)
Martinique Radar Recording Emily/91L Approach (flhurricane)
Long term recording of Emily Floater Water Vapor Imagery (flhurricane)
Long term recording of Emily Floater Visible Imagery (flhurricane)
Long term recording of Caribbean Water Vapor Satellite Imagery of Emily (flhurricane)
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