Quote: This center is a bit south of some estimates, makes it more likely that the center will miss the mountains in Haiti, but may still get some of the convection. Bad news is that it is more likely to become a very big storm.
By "very big" do you mean physically, or in terms of intensity? The overall cloud envelope is already pretty huge - and the LLC is much further south than it appears to be on the AVN loop. For a nearly 60mph tropical storm, Irene doesn't look very well organized - yet.
-------------------- Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)