As of the 11am update, the NHC track has shifted east as most of the models suggest. My question is why the UKMET and GFDL do not follow suit? When so many other models call for a more eastern path, what do these two "see" or fail to "see" that cause such a outlier? Is it because these models work better with other types of situations?
Understand that I do not question the actual storm's path or validity of any models, just a more technical question about how they work.
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