5PM EDT Update Hurricane Warnings are up now for Sandy Hook, NJ to Sagamore Beach, MA. This includes New York City, Long Island, Long Island Sound, CT, and RI. Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket.
Tropical storm warnings are up north of Sagamore Beach to the River (north of Boston).
Tropical Storm watches are now up from north of there to Eastport, ME.
Irene has a very large wind field and will be moving relatively slowly through the forecast track (For storms usually in this area), so there will likely be a prolonged period of high winds and very heavy rainfall.
Original Update Some shear has appeared to the north of Irene (Actually stronger than forecast yesterday) that is impacting Hurricane Irene, and causing it to weaken somewhat. It has a ragged appearance on Satellite this morning, but it is forecast to return to major hurricane status later today and already has hints that this is underway.
The hurricane watch areas from yesterday are now hurricane warnings, and hurricane watches are now up north of Sandy Hook, NJ to the mouth of the Merrimack River (Just north of Boston), including Long Island, Martha's Vineyard, Cape Cod. This means hurricane conditions are possible within 48 hours.
The forecast track has adjusted slightly to account for wobbles overnight, but is still very similar to what it was before. Be aware, the pressure is still low in Irene, and the area of wind that is hurricane force is large in comparison to smaller hurricanes, even if the winds around the core are not is intense. Also a lot of storm surge has been built up by the large wind field.
The wind field of Irene is larger on the eastern (or right of the direction of travel) than the west, but still has a good reach to the west, anywhere that feels the hurricane force winds is likely to lose power across a good deal of area. The good news this morning is that the track shift is slightly to the east, so less inland areas may see impacts, but the outer Banks, and Long Island still are within the eastern area of the storm, as well as Boston. Adjustments back west or east are equally as likely later. Please realize the forecast is not a line, it is a large area of hurricane force winds extend out from the center ~55 miles on the western side, with tropical storm force winds close to 200 miles to the west as well. Irene is currently about the same size or maybe a little larger than Hurricane Ike in 2008, it is likely to be larger than Ike before it reaches the Carolinas.
Please listen to local media and officials, and do not let the wind speed drop fool you, the area of winds is extremely large for a hurricane.
What's happening weather wise or people wise regarding Irene in your area? Let us know here.
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