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Cat 3 Ian likely to intensify further *into* landfall. Major flooding/surge has begun w/Key West hitting 3rd all time high still rising
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 9 (Fiona) , Major: 394 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1448 (Michael) Major: 1448 (Michael)
25.0N 82.9W
Wind: 120MPH
Pres: 953mb
Nne at 10 mph
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96L - Our next Storm Threat?
      Fri Oct 21 2011 11:17 AM

Well, 96L has been tagged as an "invest" and presently lies in the far S.W. Caribbean. Providing that its near term motion does not take it into Central America, the upper air conditions appear to be far more conducive for development, as compared to this weeks earlier disturbance that came out of the Caribbean. It is too early to say, however this system has a real potential to develop and history certainly has proven that numerous hurricanes have intensified fairly quickly and then moved Northward to eventually pose a threat to Cuba, the Bahamas and Florida.

Another front is scheduled to make its way southward next week, and once again timing could well prove to be the factor as too how big a threat 96L could pose. Right now, the latest GFS indicates the next cold front to sweep through S. Florida sometime late Thursday night or Fri. a.m. For now, the quicker the development, the greater the threat of a Northward motion. I have a feeling that by the time recon gets down there tomorrow, 96L may well be a borderline depression.

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* 96L - Our next Storm Threat? weathernet Fri Oct 21 2011 11:17 AM
. * * Re: 96L - Our next Storm Threat? weathernet   Sat Oct 22 2011 02:00 PM

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