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Invest 91L increasingly likely to develop. Watches and/or Warnings may be Issued by Monday.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 647 (Milton), US Major: 647 (Milton), FL Any: 647 (Milton), FL Major: 647 (Milton)
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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Storm Forum
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto
      Sun Aug 05 2012 08:10 AM

TS Ernesto continues to weaken and it appears that southwesterly wind shear has decoupled the system. This shear should decline in intensity, but the ridge to the north will continue to guide Ernesto to the west. Current westward speed is 19 knots but this forward motion should slow down on Monday and Tuesday. Ernesto should pass just offshore the north coast of Honduras with landfall likely in northern Belize late Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning. Weakening shear will allow for some strengthening prior to landfall if the structure of the storm can reorganize.
ED

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto cieldumort Sun Aug 05 2012 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto cieldumort   Tue Aug 07 2012 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2012 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 02 2012 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 05 2012 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 06 2012 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 06 2012 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 06 2012 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 07 2012 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 08 2012 12:32 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 08 2012 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 08 2012 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto berrywr   Tue Aug 07 2012 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Vigorous Invest 99L cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2012 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Vigorous Invest 99L Joeyfl   Wed Aug 01 2012 03:14 PM

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