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Invest 95L near 100% chance to develop, advisories likely to come later today. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm Watches are possible later tonight for parts of the Windward islands of the Caribbean. Area east of that 30% chance. 94L 30% chance.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
Td#2
ADV#1 10:00 pm EDT
9.1N 41.9W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Invest 95L Forecast Lounge
      Sun Aug 19 2012 02:20 PM

An invest tag has been put up for the surface trough associated with remnant energy of former Helene, so we will start a lounge at this time on Invest 95L.

As noted above, this vigorous surface trough includes some remnant energy from former Tropical Storm Helene, and has intermittently drifted just offshore of Mexico, into the extreme western Gulf of Mexico. The current best guess as to its central location around 21.7N.98.1W.

Invest 95L is presently analyzed to be 1005mb with maximum sustained winds of about 20 knots; movement is practically stationary, or drifting.

This is where to put long range best guesses on intensity and forecast track. Long range model output discussions are also appropriate here.

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* Invest 95L Forecast Lounge cieldumort Sun Aug 19 2012 02:20 PM

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