This is the lounge discussion for Chantal in the Atlantic.
When it formed as 95L, global models don't seem to pick up on this yet, but the others suggest it could near or clip the northeastern Caribbean. The GFS tends to keep it weaker and enters the Caribbean, while some of the others strengthen it and turn it more northerly. Currently the dry air around it will keep it from developing in the short term, but if the system persists through this, it has a better chance of development later.
Odds favor it turning out to sea before the US, but a lot remains to be seen. This lounge is to discuss what may or may not happen with the system.
Early model runs (Which are usually trash at this point) suggest it may develop after several days.
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