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Chances for development of this system are up to 50%, and Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings could be issued as early as tomorrow for portions of the NW Gulf.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 613 (Milton), US Major: 613 (Milton), FL Any: 613 (Milton), FL Major: 613 (Milton)
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Archives 2010s >> 2013 Forecast Lounge

vpbob21
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio
Re: Invest 98E (East Pacific) Lounge
      Wed Jul 24 2013 11:44 PM

As of 11:00 EDT (8:00 PDT) this has been upgraded to TD 6-E, about 2200 miles ESE of Hilo.

This looks like one of those typical systems that form in this area and run into the wall of low SST's and end up reaching the islands as a low cloud swirl. Generally speaking these systems have to stay below about 15N to be able to reach the longitude of the Hawaiian islands as more than a dying TD (such as 1994's John, which actually reached the Western Pacific - a 3-basin storm!). This one is not even predicted by NHC to reach hurricane status before hitting 24-25 deg. SST's in about 3 days. Hopefully there may be enough left of the system to bring some rain to the islands, especially the Big Island, parts of which are in extreme drought.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Flossie (East Pacific) Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Jul 24 2013 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98E (East Pacific) Lounge vpbob21   Wed Jul 24 2013 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98E (East Pacific) Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jul 23 2013 07:52 PM

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