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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2013 News Talkbacks

berrywr
Weather Analyst

Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL

Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic
Fri Aug 16 2013 02:52 PM

Ed, check out the RAMBIS page and visible imagery - the low level center is completely exposed and moving due west. I looked at the water vapor and as the models have been forecasting the upper level low to fill and be absorbed by the larger longwave trough which its axis is now extended as far south as Houston, TX. Last night, the GFS at 850 millibars took one piece of energy into the Northern Gulf Coast and the other west. There wasn't enough at 500 millibars for me to gauge anything moving west. 92L is likely too shallow for any of us to rely on the global models for the time being. The evolving longwave trough over the southern tier of the United States makes anything tropical approaching the US one unlikely and two, not likely to be pure tropical not with winds aloft in excess of 70 knots. A system moving west still could be absorbed by the main trough if it becomes more vertically deep otherwise, it has a date with the Mexican coast but not likely anything more than a weak storm. I was not aware of the page NHC mentioned in the discussion but I did look it up and here it is: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/tropical.asp

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Erin Forms, West Caribbean Wave Struggles	MikeC	Fri Aug 16 2013 02:52 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	berrywr	Fri Aug 16 2013 02:52 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 16 2013 09:38 AM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	doug	Fri Aug 16 2013 09:03 AM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	berrywr	Fri Aug 16 2013 12:46 AM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	LoisCane	Thu Aug 15 2013 11:26 AM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	MikeC	Thu Aug 15 2013 11:07 AM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	doug	Thu Aug 15 2013 07:22 AM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	berrywr	Thu Aug 15 2013 12:16 AM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	weatherguy08	Wed Aug 14 2013 11:22 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	ralphfla	Wed Aug 14 2013 11:11 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	Random Chaos	Wed Aug 14 2013 11:09 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	ralphfla	Wed Aug 14 2013 10:02 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	danielw	Wed Aug 14 2013 09:34 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	ralphfla	Wed Aug 14 2013 09:26 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	Random Chaos	Wed Aug 14 2013 09:20 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	danielw	Wed Aug 14 2013 07:54 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	berrywr	Wed Aug 14 2013 06:23 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	berrywr	Wed Aug 14 2013 06:11 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	Hawkeyewx	Wed Aug 14 2013 04:54 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	Joeyfl	Wed Aug 14 2013 03:17 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	MikeC	Wed Aug 14 2013 02:52 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	Tazmanian93	Wed Aug 14 2013 01:57 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	Wingman51	Wed Aug 14 2013 01:24 PM
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic	berrywr	Wed Aug 14 2013 03:07 AM

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