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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - TS Humberto
      Sun Sep 08 2013 12:23 PM

At 08/12Z, Invest 91L was located at 13.1N 19.0W and the disturbance was moving west at 7 knots. Winds are still at 25kts and pressure is now 1008MB. Although NHC still suggest a high probability of additional development, this confidence is probably based on the GFS model output and its rapid spin-up of the system - but in reality this wave doesn't look too much different from the earlier shredded systems that have exited the West African coast. Westerly windshear still seems to be hampering the organization of the northern portion of the system. Examining the windshear forecasts, the best opportunity for development of this system would seem to be from Monday evening or Tuesday morning through early Thursday when the westerly windshear would have less of an influence on the system.
ED

(Title updated to reflect current system status.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Sep 09 2013 09:33 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest - TS Humberto JoshuaK Sun Sep 08 2013 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Random Chaos   Sat Sep 07 2013 11:58 PM
. * * Area of Interest - Invest 91L Off West African Coast Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 08 2013 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - TS Humberto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 08 2013 12:23 PM

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