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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 607 (Milton), US Major: 607 (Milton), FL Any: 607 (Milton), FL Major: 607 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2013 News Talkbacks

ralphfla
Weather Watcher

Reged:
Posts: 26

Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued
Sun Oct 06 2013 12:58 AM

Karen has essentially remained stationary for the last several hours
and that lack of motion...coupled with increasing upper-level winds
ahead of an eastward-moving deep-layer trough...has increased the
shear significantly across the cyclone. The result is that
convection has weakened and become displaced well to the east and
southeast of the low-level circulation center. Satellite
classifications from TAFB supported keeping Karen as a borderline
tropical storm at 00z...but the lack of convection near the center
since then requires a downgrade to depression status at the 03z
advisory time. Given that the vertical wind shear is forecast to
get even stronger over the next 2 days...re-strengthening back to
tropical storm status is not likely...especially since the
mid-levels of the troposphere will become increasingly drier

Not going back to a storm will be lucky to hold onto a depression

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
A Messy Karen in Central Gulf	MikeC	Sun Oct 06 2013 12:58 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Sun Oct 06 2013 12:58 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	OrlandoDan	Sat Oct 05 2013 02:39 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Sat Oct 05 2013 04:35 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Sat Oct 05 2013 02:06 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Fri Oct 04 2013 08:12 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Fri Oct 04 2013 08:03 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	Lamar-Plant City	Fri Oct 04 2013 05:06 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Fri Oct 04 2013 04:33 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	scottsvb	Fri Oct 04 2013 10:58 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Fri Oct 04 2013 10:49 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Fri Oct 04 2013 02:29 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Fri Oct 04 2013 02:01 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Fri Oct 04 2013 01:49 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Fri Oct 04 2013 01:30 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	SirCane	Thu Oct 03 2013 10:25 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Thu Oct 03 2013 08:46 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Thu Oct 03 2013 08:27 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Thu Oct 03 2013 07:23 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MichaelA	Thu Oct 03 2013 07:09 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	berrywr	Thu Oct 03 2013 05:26 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	berrywr	Thu Oct 03 2013 05:16 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 03 2013 04:52 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Thu Oct 03 2013 04:25 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Thu Oct 03 2013 03:34 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 03 2013 02:46 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	Fairhopian	Thu Oct 03 2013 02:13 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 03 2013 12:43 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	Fairhopian	Thu Oct 03 2013 11:57 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Thu Oct 03 2013 11:53 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Thu Oct 03 2013 09:50 AM

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