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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 603 (Milton), US Major: 603 (Milton), FL Any: 603 (Milton), FL Major: 603 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2013 Forecast Lounge

vpbob21
Weather Guru

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Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio

Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge
Fri Oct 11 2013 06:21 PM

I have thought all along that the NHC's odds of development (40-50%) were probably overly generous, but I have to say that 98L looks a lot better this afternoon than it has in a while. Deep convection has really increased and the circulation seems to be getting better defined. With all the shear and dry air ahead of it, along with the general unfavorable phase of the MJO, I'm still not convinced it's going to do anything. But I suppose if it can move slowly enough to stay behind the shear zone, it could have a chance. It will be interesting to see if the odds come up at 8:00 tonight.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Oct 11 2013 06:21 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	vpbob21	Fri Oct 11 2013 06:21 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Oct 11 2013 12:36 AM

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