two nights of the same thing.. nothing is going on off the southeast coast. only interesting thing my model glance showed was an ecmwf gulf low pressure that moves into the western gulf by early next week. ecmwf phantoms i consider more possible than mrf ones, but still not worthy of much interest. have to see if it keeps showing up though (like our current no-show did) in future runs.
i looked back on the poll about activity in the rest of the early season.. more conservative than i expected. i remember lots of spring forecasts calling for 15, 16, 17 storms this season.. june must have been a reality check.
anyhow, next poll:
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