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The well-defined Tropical Low (98L) continues producing hvy rain, wind and tstorms over N MX and SW TX. Atlantic waking up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 337 (Nicholas) , Major: 352 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1406 (Michael) Major: 1406 (Michael)
 


General Discussion >> Other Storm Basins

cieldumortModerator
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Olaf May Impact California
      Sun Oct 25 2015 08:18 AM

In this year of vastly above normal SSTs in the Central & Eastern Pacific, one has to reach way back to find analog years in the tropical cyclone record - and what we often see during moderate to strong El NiƱo events is a propensity for storms from the tropics to add lots of additional juice to the weather in the southwest.

And then, once in a great, great while - exceedingly rare - the available reasonably reliable database holds that a still intact tropical cyclone has actually made a direct hit or even complete landfall along the California coast. The intensities upon impact of these mere handful of California tropical cyclones going back to the mid-1800s range from Depression to the once-only Category 1 hurricane, The 1858 San Diego Hurricane - Link is to a PPT Presentation

Hurricane Olaf is presently a strong 80 knot hurricane, and has been a Major more than once in its lifetime thus far. While no model is suggesting a still-hurricane Olaf strikes the west coast, more and more model runs, including runs from the most reliable models, show a still relatively intact, albeit weakening Olaf, bringing wet and blustery weather onshore in California later in the coming week



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* Olaf May Impact California cieldumortModerator Sun Oct 25 2015 08:18 AM
. * * Re: Olaf May Impact California cieldumortModerator   Sun Oct 25 2015 05:06 PM

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