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A closed low has formed in the Bay of Campeche (SW Gulf) and may be getting better organized.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 612 (Milton), US Major: 612 (Milton), FL Any: 612 (Milton), FL Major: 612 (Milton)

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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

CFHC

Reged:
Posts: 205
Loc: East Central Florida

Let's Get Spinning!
Fri Jul 05 2002 03:49 PM

We've got two systems, that could develop, one southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina (the longer shot) and one near Bermuda (Which may be a depression today).

The Navy already has an eye on them, and so do I. The one near Bermuda is a candidate for the first depression of the year. It won't last long because of a low nearby, but it is something to track.

Let's throw up some chances:

On my development scale, where is the system southeast of Hatteras now?

code: 

forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)

         [--*-------------------]

This one has a much lower chance to form, although it is showing some signs of spinning. Definitely don't want to write it totally off yet...

As for the Bermuda System..

code: 

forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)

          [----------*-----------]

A much better chance, overall, and my personal choice for first almost if not complete tropical depression of 2002.

We'll See...

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Even more on the links page.

- [mike@flhurricane.com]

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Let's Get Spinning!	CFHC	Fri Jul 05 2002 03:49 PM
Re: Let's Get Spinning!	Anonymous	Sat Jul 06 2002 08:39 PM
Arthur may be coming...	Kevin	Fri Jul 05 2002 10:52 PM
Re: Arthur may be coming...	Matthew	Fri Jul 05 2002 11:28 PM
Re: Arthur may be coming...	Matthew	Fri Jul 05 2002 11:41 PM
delays	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Jul 06 2002 12:22 AM
Thunder storms reform over the center of low.	Matthew	Sat Jul 06 2002 02:53 AM
tropical system number one is forming	Matthew	Sat Jul 06 2002 04:19 AM
This storm died like them all.	Anonymous	Sat Jul 06 2002 06:05 AM
Re: This storm died like them all.	ShawnS	Sat Jul 06 2002 02:23 PM
Re: This storm died like them all.	BabyCat	Sat Jul 06 2002 07:23 PM
various annoyances	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Jul 06 2002 05:47 PM
Re: various annoyances	Ed Dunham	Sat Jul 06 2002 09:42 PM
Re: various annoyances	Frank P	Sat Jul 06 2002 10:23 PM
The thunderstorms over the gulf die down	Matthew	Sat Jul 06 2002 10:33 PM
timeframe	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Jul 06 2002 11:45 PM
crap	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Jul 06 2002 11:46 PM
your talking about 1975 hurricane 12#	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:50 AM
Guam could get it again new t.d	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 02:23 AM
new killer flood for texas may form!!!	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 06:59 AM
Re: new killer flood for texas may form!!!	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:02 AM
TRY hard not to make people mad!!!	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:28 AM
there 95l	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:51 AM
Re: there 95l	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:59 AM
Re: there 95l	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 10:17 AM
GOMEX.	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 10:22 AM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 10:36 AM
Re: GOMEX.	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 10:42 AM
Re: GOMEX.	Rad	Sun Jul 07 2002 10:46 AM
Re: GOMEX.	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:04 AM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:12 AM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:19 AM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:49 AM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 12:13 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 12:35 PM
This is why I dont visit this site anymore	Greyman	Sun Jul 07 2002 12:56 PM
Thanks!	Eduardo	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:31 PM
Re: This is why I dont visit this site anymore	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:21 PM
Re: This is why I dont visit this site anymore	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:41 PM
Re: Recon	Colleen A.	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:50 PM
Re: Recon	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:14 PM
5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:31 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Colleen A.	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:41 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 08:07 PM
structure	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Jul 07 2002 08:32 PM
Re: structure	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:43 PM
Hey everyone...	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:56 PM
vanishing act	Anonymous (HF)	Mon Jul 08 2002 01:35 AM
Re: vanishing act	Rich B	Mon Jul 08 2002 03:43 AM
Re: vanishing act	CaneMan	Mon Jul 08 2002 06:40 AM
Re: vanishing act	Hurric	Mon Jul 08 2002 08:14 AM
Re: vanishing act	ShawnS	Mon Jul 08 2002 08:49 AM
Re: structure	Frank P	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:15 PM
Re: structure	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 08:46 PM
Re: structure	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:00 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:38 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Colleen A.	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:43 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:52 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Frank P	Sun Jul 07 2002 06:36 PM
GOM Vis Sat Loop	Frank P	Sun Jul 07 2002 07:00 PM
Re: GOM Vis Sat Loop	Rich B	Sun Jul 07 2002 07:16 PM
Re: GOM Vis Sat Loop	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 07:40 PM
Re: GOM Vis Sat Loop	Rad	Sun Jul 07 2002 07:34 PM
GOM	BabyCat	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:07 PM
95 L is probably a go.	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:22 PM
Once again, I forget to login. (lol) n/t	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:24 PM
fyi from BabyCat	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:14 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Rad	Sun Jul 07 2002 12:40 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 12:49 PM
MATTHEW!!!!!!!!!!!!!	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:57 PM
gfdl	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:32 PM
95L	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:40 PM
95L	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:25 PM
This is a sad day for me.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:13 PM
Re: This is a sad day for me.	Colleen A.	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:55 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 12:48 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:45 AM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:17 AM
new killer flood for texas may form!!!	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 06:53 AM
Re: GOM	Frank P	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:23 AM
Re: GOM	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:41 AM
timeframe	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Jul 06 2002 11:45 PM
Re: Let's Get Spinning!	Matthew	Fri Jul 05 2002 05:00 PM
choices, choices	Anonymous (HF)	Fri Jul 05 2002 06:01 PM
cor	Anonymous (HF)	Fri Jul 05 2002 06:03 PM
Re: cor	ShawnS	Fri Jul 05 2002 06:09 PM
This is what I think	Anonymous	Fri Jul 05 2002 08:13 PM
Re: Let's Get Spinning!	Matthew	Fri Jul 05 2002 05:49 PM

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