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cieldumort
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Matthew Pounding Ga-SC-NC With Storm Surge, Flooding and Wind
      Thu Oct 06 2016 09:39 PM

11PM EDT Update 7 October 2016
Locally record-setting deadly surge event may unfold tonight into Saturday from Georgia to N Carolina. Levels were running around 3-5' above normal during low tide, with many locations expecting high tides around 1-3AM local times. In addition to surge, very heavy rain into the double digits is expected over large parts of the Carolinas as Hurricane Matthew tracks the coast, occasionally making landfall along the way, resulting in life-threatening flash floods. As of the last NHC advisory, maximum sustained winds are still 105mph, with higher gusts.


4PM EDT Update 7 October 2016

Matthew has very fortunately stayed just offshore of eastern Florida, keeping the worst winds at sea, and limiting storm surge potential along the coast there. Despite this, sustained hurricane force winds with gusts over 90 have occurred, and dangerous storm surge has been underway in places like St. Augustine and Daytona Beach.

Life-threatening storm surge will continue tracking up the coast with Matthew. Recently, the highest level of storm surge since 1898 at Fernandinda Beach, located about 50 miles north of St. Augustine, has prompted a Flash Flood Emergency. Later tonight and into Saturday, very surge-prone locations from Georgia to the Carolinas will be at risk for a record surge.

Original Entry

Above: Major Cat 4 Hurricane Matthew & Significant Hurricane Nicole

Life-taking Major Hurricane Matthew is now slowly exiting the Bahamas and taking direct aim on Florida, right up and either side of the coast, into Georgia and then South Carolina. Matthew is an extremely powerful Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. Recently West End Bahamas recorded a sustained north wind at 103 MPH gusting to 124 MPH, but was also offline for over an hour during much of the worst of it, and winds there could have even been higher.

Tonight, Matthew was looking to be attempting an Eyewall Replacement Cycle, but this is in question. However, the areal coverage of hurricane force winds and strong tropical storm force winds does appear to have been expanding some, which is not good. The larger area of powerful winds are pushing more water onshore and will worsen the deadly storm surge threat, as well as extend the duration of damaging wind gusts well inland right up the state, and into Ga & SC later this weekend. Hide from the wind. Run from the water.

There has been strong model support for keeping Matthew around past the coming weekend. Speculation on Matthew can be found in the Matthew Forecast Lounge.

There has been increasing model support for Nicole interacting with Matthew and possibly pulling a Fujiwhara, and also possibly hanging around. Speculation on Nicole can be found in the Nicole Forecast Lounge

Finally, this is shaping up to be a once-in-a-lifetime event for the southeast starting tonight. Flhurricane members want it to not be your last. Stop by often and check in. Let us know how you're doing and let us know about how things are in your area Conditions related to Matthew.

Stay safe

NHC KEY MESSAGES
Quote:


1. Matthew is likely to produce devastating impacts from storm surge, extreme winds, and heavy rains in the northwestern Bahamas today, and along extensive portions of the east coast of Florida tonight.

2. Evacuations are not just a coastal event. Strong winds will occur well inland from the coast, and residents of mobile homes under evacuation orders are urged to heed those orders.

3. Hurricane winds increase very rapidly with height, and residents of high-rise buildings are at particular risk of strong winds. Winds at the top of a 30-story building will average one Saffir-Simpson category higher than the winds near the surface.

4. When a hurricane is forecast to take a track roughly parallel to a coastline, as Matthew is forecast to do from Florida through South Carolina, it becomes very difficult to specify impacts at any one location. Only a small deviation of the track to the left of the NHC forecast could bring the core of a major hurricane onshore within the hurricane warning area in Florida and Georgia. Modest deviations to the right could keep much of the hurricane-force winds offshore. Similarly large variations in impacts are possible in the hurricane watch and warning areas in northeast Georgia and South Carolina.

5. The National Hurricane Center is issuing Potential Storm Surge Flooding Maps, and Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphics for Matthew. It is important to remember that the Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map does not represent a forecast of expected inundation, but rather depicts a reasonable worst-case scenario - the amount of inundation that has a 10 percent chance of being exceeded. In addition, because the Flooding Map is based on inputs that extend out only to about 72 hours, it best represents the flooding potential in those locations within the watch and warning areas in Florida and Georgia.





Florida Emergency Management.
Florida Evacuation Zone Maps
Florida County Emergency Management websites
Guantanamo Bay Radar - Recording
Flhurricane Matthew Webcam and Radar Recordings

WindyTy flowing wind and wave maps

{{StormLinks|Matthew|14|14|2016|14|Matthew}}

Caribbean Radar Mosaic Recording.

Webcams:

Juno Pier (Near West Palm)
Melbourne Beach Cam
Flhurricane Cocoa Canal Cam
Cocoa Beach Pier Surf Cam
Satellite Beach Cam
<a href="www.portcanaveralwebcam.com" target="_blank">Port Canaveral Webcam</a>

List of more Surfing Gator Webcam List

See other Matthew recordings http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/animationlist.php?year=all&tag=Matthew+(2016)


{{BahamasMedia}}

{{StormCarib}}

{{EastFloridaRadar}}

{{MidAtlanticRadar}}

{{SouthFloridaMedia}}

{{EastCentralFloridaMedia}}

{{JaxMedia}}

{{NCCoastMedia}}

{{FloridaPowerOutage}}

{{StormLinks|Nicole|15|15|2016|15|Nicole}}

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Matthew Pounding Ga-SC-NC With Storm Surge, Flooding and Wind cieldumort Thu Oct 06 2016 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Matthew Offshore Heading Toward Ga-SC-NC With Storm Surge Threats cieldumort   Sat Oct 08 2016 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Matthew Offshore Heading Toward Ga-SC-NC With Storm Surge Threats MikeCAdministrator   Sat Oct 08 2016 08:57 AM
. * * Re: Matthew Offshore Heading Toward Ga-SC-NC With Storm Surge Threats Bloodstar   Sat Oct 08 2016 05:37 AM
. * * Re: Matthew Offshore Heading Toward Ga-SC-NC With Storm Surge Threats cieldumort   Sat Oct 08 2016 04:15 AM
. * * Re: Matthew Offshore Heading Toward Ga-SC-NC With Storm Surge Threats lunkerhunter   Fri Oct 07 2016 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Deadly Matthew Moving into Florida MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 07 2016 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Deadly Matthew Moving into Florida MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 07 2016 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Deadly Matthew Moving into Florida MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 07 2016 08:01 AM
. * * Re: Deadly Matthew Moving into Florida MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 07 2016 04:54 AM
. * * Re: Deadly Matthew Moving into Florida OrlandoDan   Fri Oct 07 2016 02:28 AM
. * * Re: Deadly Matthew Moving into Florida cieldumort   Fri Oct 07 2016 01:52 AM

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