Yep I overstated the CMC intensity, it was more a Ts/Depression but it did show landfall near Cape Canaveral late Tuesday evening (EDT).
18Z GFS is further south/west by a good margin (500 miles or so) than the earlier run, and weaker, but loses it as a weak wave south of the outer banks on the 13th
GFS Parallel again splits, and sends some energy out to sea and a very weak remnant westward, which eventually gets torn apart before it reaches land.
Neither GFS shows a real landfall.
12Z Euro winds up with a weak system over South Florida on July 13th.
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