Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Tropical Storm Odette forms off NC coast likely to remain offshore and head out to sea becoming post-tropical over the weekend.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 4 (Nicholas) , Major: 19 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1073 (Michael) Major: 1073 (Michael)
36.4N 71.2W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1010mb
Moving:
Ne at 10 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
Invest 95LClick for Invest Information from CIMSS
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 


Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

cieldumortModerator
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 2099
Loc: Austin, Tx
East Atlantic Tropical Wave
      Sat Jul 08 2017 11:11 PM



A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave embedded within the Monsoon Trof, along with several linked small minimums of surface pressure (low pressure centers), has been looking interesting. In addition, a modest thunderstorm complex associated with this region of disturbed weather rolled off western Africa late last night, and is now showing signs of enhanced vorticity.

This region is not yet Invest tagged, and as of the 800 PM EDT Sat Jul 8 2017 TWO, NHC had not yet made mention of it - even in the extended 5 Day. However, models in aggregate have been lukewarm on developing either a strong wave or tropical cyclone from this soup over the next seven days, with the prized GFS the most consistent, and bullish.

Below: GFS Ensemble Members 120 Hours out from 18z July 8, 2017 Initialization
In this run, most members are clustered around the development of a closed surface low east of the southern Lesser Antilles, with minimum barometric pressures ranging between 999mb and 1010mb at that point in time. ***LOUNGE CAVEATS APPLY***

Ensemble map credit and thanks to Tropical Tidbits/Levi Cowan

This feature has not yet developed, and may in fact not do so at all. However, if and once a more distinct system forms we will update the title and thread with any relevant Invest tag, storm number, name, etc.

This is where to put mid to long range thoughts on this feature's potential for development, intensity, and forecast track. Longer range model output discussions are appropriate here.


Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* East Atlantic Tropical Wave cieldumortModerator Sat Jul 08 2017 11:11 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Tropical Wave MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 09 2017 09:14 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Tropical Wave MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 09 2017 11:50 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Tropical Wave MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 10 2017 07:28 AM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Tropical Wave MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 10 2017 02:23 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Tropical Wave MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 10 2017 07:12 PM
. * * Re: East Atlantic Tropical Wave MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 11 2017 07:26 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 3 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, MikeC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., danielw, Clark, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 7706

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center