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Subtropical or Tropical development becoming possible this week off Mid Atlantic coast. NHC 30% 5 Day.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 41 (Nicholas) , Major: 57 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1111 (Michael) Major: 1111 (Michael)
 


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cieldumortModerator
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96L Lounge
      Mon Jul 17 2017 02:10 AM



Mid July is proving to be as some of us expected: getting busier. An area of significantly disturbed weather, located to the east-southeast of Invest 95L, or several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, has been showing potential for development, and is now also being tracked by NHC. The disturbance is moving slowly west-northwest, with models hinting that it could turn more to the northwest in coming days - possibly out to sea - but much too soon to tell.

This feature has not yet developed, and may in fact not do so at all. However, if and once a more distinct system forms we will update the title and thread with any relevant Invest tag, storm number, name, etc. The next Invest number on the list coming up in the Atlantic is 96.

This is where to put mid to long range thoughts on this feature's potential for development, intensity, and forecast track. Longer range model output discussions are appropriate here.

As of 07/18/0500 this area of low pressure has been Invest tagged (96L) and the title has been updated accordingly

- Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Tue Jul 18 2017 01:40 AM)

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