Strong model support for the wave behind 91L over the African continent. NHC already giving this 5-day chances for development at 20%, pretty impressive for a wave still about 2 days from leaving the coast.
12Z Euro is furthest north, moving it well north of the Leewards and then approaching Bermuda as a hurricane at the end of its run on 8/24.
18Z GFS moves it across the Atlantic into the Lesser Antilles near Guadeloupe on 8/22, strengthening quickly over the NE Carib until it runs into Hispaniola on 8/24, moves pretty much over the length of Cuba but emerges over water late 8/25 then moves north over Florida on 8/26 and 8/27.
With 91L, 92L, future 93L and more waves behind over Africa, we should have a lot to track over the next couple weeks.
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Re: General 2017 Model Watching
Edit
Reply
Quote
