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Wet weekend and next weekend, but tropical development very unlikely.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 597 (Milton), US Major: 597 (Milton), FL Any: 597 (Milton), FL Major: 597 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2017 News Talkbacks

MikeC
Admin

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Posts: 4819
Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic
Sun Sep 03 2017 11:27 AM

Irma is looking a little more ragged right now due to a little bit of dry air intrusion and it is moving WSW, it's a bit south of the 0z EPS model guidance so shifts may occur. I think the models are overdoing intensity in the long range, next up are the Caribbean islands which will likely see some of Irma (how much depends on the exact track, we could get watches starting late today or tomorrow)

Conditions are expected to get better for development east of the Bahamas, where the official forecast takes it very close to the Turks and Caicos at the end of the 5 day period, at this rate parts of the US may be in the cone starting Late Tuesday or Wednesday. Direct affects wouldn't likely be until Sunday or Monday (10-11thh), which means any final preps probably Friday or Saturday depending on where it goes.

Beyond 5 days it is still too soon to tell, the forecast lounge has more speculation and odds.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Irma Recon Begins in Earnest. Also Watching SW Gulf Low and E Atl Wave	MikeC	Sun Sep 03 2017 11:27 AM
Re: Irma Recon Begins in Earnest. Also Watching SW Gulf Low and E Atl Wave	scottsvb	Mon Sep 04 2017 11:44 AM
Re: Irma Recon Begins in Earnest. Also Watching SW Gulf Low and E Atl Wave	cieldumort	Mon Sep 04 2017 10:32 AM
Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic	MikeC	Mon Sep 04 2017 08:58 AM
Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic	MikeC	Mon Sep 04 2017 08:48 AM
Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic	Psyber	Sun Sep 03 2017 11:18 PM
Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic	MikeC	Sun Sep 03 2017 11:27 AM
Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic	M.A.	Fri Sep 01 2017 05:17 PM
Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic	Random Chaos	Thu Aug 31 2017 06:21 PM
Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic	MikeC	Thu Aug 31 2017 10:52 AM
Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic	MikeC	Thu Aug 31 2017 10:36 AM
Re: Watching Irma in the East Atlantic	MikeC	Thu Aug 31 2017 10:29 AM

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