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Now looking at a chance for two TDs in the Atlantic (low threat to land), but likely development in the Pacific nearing Hawaii.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 669 (Milton), US Major: 669 (Milton), FL Any: 669 (Milton), FL Major: 669 (Milton)
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MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: September Begins Looking Unlike August
      Mon Sep 03 2018 07:21 AM

This morning 7 is approaching Islamorada in the Florida Keys, building, but not quite with a low level circulation quite yet. There is an upper level low to the southwest that is probably slowing that down, but at the same time feeding mid level moisture into it. That low is moving away, and there are hints of west winds on radar and a few stations south of Islamorada. I suspect it'll develop around noon. Conditions are mixed for strengthening, but odds favor it staying a tropical storm before landfall.

The small size of the system does have potential for a round of strengthening tomorrow morning before landfall, so it'll have to be watched closely then, but the NHC's forecast is fairly decent.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* September Begins Looking Unlike August cieldumortModerator Mon Sep 03 2018 07:21 AM
. * * Re: September Begins Looking Unlike August MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2018 07:21 AM
. * * Re: September Begins Looking Unlike August MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 02 2018 12:21 PM
. * * Re: September Begins Looking Unlike August cieldumortModerator   Sat Sep 01 2018 06:09 AM

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