Critical HLS Hurricane/Tropical Local Statment — Sun Sep 28, 2025 5:15 AM

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Tropical Depression Nine Local Statement Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL092025
511 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025

This product covers East Central Florida

**Tropical Storm Watches Remain in Effect for Coastal Portions of
East Central Florida**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Indian River,
      Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Volusia, Coastal
  Brevard

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 430 miles south-southeast of Cape Canaveral FL
    - 23.0N 77.2W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 345 degrees at 7 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 5 AM, Tropical Depression Nine was located about 80 miles
southeast of the Andros Island in the Bahamas, drifting toward the
northwest at 7 mph. The system is forecast to strengthen into
Tropical Storm Imelda by this afternoon as it moves north-
northwestward over the central and northwestern Bahamas, then become
a hurricane by Monday night as it parallels the Atlantic coast of
Florida.

As the center of Tropical Depression Nine moves northward, outer
rain bands will begin to affect the immediate coast of east-central
Florida today. Multiple rounds of rainfall are forecast from through
early Tuesday, with amounts of 1 to 3 inches focused along and east
of Interstate 95. Locally higher amounts to 5 inches are possible
where persistent bands of rain set up, especially along the
immediate coastline. Localized flooding or ponding of water on
roadways is possible where repeated rounds of heavy rain occur.

Wind fields will gradually expand as the tropical system
strengthens. As a result, tropical-storm-force wind gusts are
possible for much of the east-central Florida coastline. The
potential also exists for tropical-storm-force sustained winds near
the immediate coast. Therefore, Tropical Storm Watches remain in
effect for coastal portions of Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, Saint
Lucie, and Martin counties. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect
for the adjacent Atlantic coastal waters.

At the coast, battering surf from this afternoon through Tuesday
will produce dangerous beach conditions. A HIGH risk of rip currents
is forecast, with breaking waves of 6 to 10 feet. Beach erosion is
likely as waves run up to the dune line or sea walls, especially
along the northern Brevard and Volusia coast on Monday. Long-period
swells from this system combined with distant Major Hurricane
Humberto will produce the potential for long-duration moderate beach
and dune erosion, along with high surf conditions, through late week.

For locations in and near the Tropical Storm Watch, do not let your
guard down. Regardless of the exact track, significant coastal
impacts are anticipated. Now is the time to secure any loose or
lightweight outdoor items, including holiday decorations. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane Center
and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
East Central Florida. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across coastal areas of East Central Florida. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across East Central Florida. Potential impacts
include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$