Critical HLS Hurricane/Tropical Local Statment — Sun Sep 28, 2025 12:00 PM

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Tropical Depression Nine Local Statement Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL092025
1149 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025

This product covers East Central Florida

**Tropical Storm Watches Remain in Effect for Coastal Portions of
East Central Florida**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Indian River,
      Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Volusia, Mainland
      Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard
      Barrier Islands, and Southern Brevard Barrier Islands

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 390 miles south-southeast of Cape Canaveral FL
    - 23.5N 77.3W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 7 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 11 AM, Tropical Depression Nine was located about 95 miles west
of the central Bahamas, drifting toward the north at just 7 mph. The
system is forecast to strengthen into Tropical Storm Imelda today as
it moves north-northwestward over the central and northwestern
Bahamas. The slow moving storm track remains parallel and offshore the
Florida coast Monday, strengthening into a hurricane early Tuesday as
it turns northeast and further out to sea.

As the center of Tropical Depression Nine moves northward, outer rain
bands will begin to affect the immediate coast of east-central Florida
today. Multiple rounds of rainfall are forecast through early Tuesday,
with amounts of 1 to 3 inches focused along and east of Interstate 95.
Locally higher amounts to 4 inches are possible where persistent bands
of rain set up, especially along the immediate coastline. Localized
flooding or ponding of water on roadways is possible where repeated
rounds of heavy rain occur.

Wind fields will gradually expand as the tropical system strengthens.
As a result, tropical-storm-force wind gusts are possible for portions
of the east-central Florida coastline in outer rainbands tonight into
Monday. Tropical Storm Watches remain in effect for coastal portions
of Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, Saint Lucie, and Martin counties. A
Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the adjacent Atlantic coastal
waters.

At the coast, battering surf from this afternoon through Tuesday will
produce dangerous beach conditions. A HIGH risk of rip currents is
forecast, with breaking waves of 6 to 10 feet. Beach erosion is likely
as waves run up to the dune line or sea walls, especially along the
northern Brevard and Volusia coast on Monday. Long-period swells from
this system combined with distant Major Hurricane Humberto will
produce the potential for long-duration moderate beach and dune
erosion, along with high surf conditions, through late week.

For locations in and near the Tropical Storm Watch, do not let your
guard down. Regardless of the exact track, significant coastal impacts
are anticipated. Now is the time to secure any loose or lightweight
outdoor items, including holiday decorations. Continue to monitor the
latest forecasts from the National Hurricane Center and National
Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
East Central FLorida. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted.
    - Isolated to scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across coastal areas of East Central Florida. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few
  small craft broken away from moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across East Central Florida. Potential impacts
include:
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
 Follow the advice of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 5PM, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$