Update TCM Marine/Forecast Update — Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:54 PM

TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
0300 UTC SUN OCT 26 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  75.9W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  40SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  75.9W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  75.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.4N  76.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...155NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.4N  77.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.6N  77.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.2N  77.7W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.0N  77.2W...INLAND JAMAICA
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.4N  76.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 65NE  70SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 23.0N  72.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  75SE  55SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  90SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 28.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 170SE 120SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  75.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN