Update TCM Marine/Forecast Update — Tue Oct 28, 2025 4:54 PM

TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
2100 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  77.7W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  921 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT.......170NE 130SE  60SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  77.7W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  77.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.9N  76.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.2N  75.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 25.0N  73.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 28.9N  70.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.8N  64.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 39.0N  58.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  45SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 190SE 160SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 48.4N  42.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 200SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 54.8N  25.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 200SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  77.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 29/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN