Update TCM Marine/Forecast Update — Wed Oct 29, 2025 10:57 PM

TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
0300 UTC THU OCT 30 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  74.3W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 100SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE  90SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 150SE 120SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  74.3W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  74.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.9N  72.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  50SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 31.7N  68.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  35SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 190SE 160SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 37.6N  62.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  75SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...190NE 220SE 210SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 44.0N  55.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 220SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 50.0N  49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 120SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 250SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 53.0N  43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 250SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 56.5N  29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 270SE 270SW 270NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 57.5N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N  74.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 30/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE