Update TCM Marine/Forecast Update — Thu Oct 30, 2025 4:51 AM

TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
0900 UTC THU OCT 30 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  73.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  50SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......170NE 170SE 100SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  73.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N  73.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 29.0N  70.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 34.4N  65.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  35SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 170SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 40.6N  59.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 230SE 220SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 47.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  50SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  80SW  20NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 230SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 51.6N  45.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 240SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 53.9N  40.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 250SE 250SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 55.5N  29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 210SE 210SW 150NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 58.5N  21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N  73.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 30/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART