Update TCM Marine/Forecast Update — Fri Oct 31, 2025 10:42 AM

TCMAT3
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2025
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  60.5W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  42 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 140SE  90SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 240SE 200SW  90NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 360SE 480SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  60.5W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 43.5N  55.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 140SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 290SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 49.4N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 130SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 390SE 290SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 53.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 110SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 390SE 290SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 55.0N  35.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 390SE 300SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 56.2N  29.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 240SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 57.5N  24.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 210SE 210SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 60.5N  16.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N  60.5W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE 
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN