Update AFD Area Forecast Discussion — Fri Apr 3, 2026 10:09 AM

AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1002 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2026

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms through the week.

- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.


.UPDATE...
Issued at 947 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2026

Some moisture as well as unstable air remain available over the
area this morning. At the same time, drier air will attempt to
move into the region today, especially in southern portions of
the state. This set up will bring the potential for some showers
this afternoon mostly north and along the I-4 corridor as the sea
breeze moves in. Temperatures are on track to reach the upper 80s.

No changes needed to the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 741 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2026

VFR conditions are anticipated through the period with pockets of
drier air moving across terminals. This will keep most if any
activity north of the I-4 corridor, but will keep a low chance of
a shower or two developing along the sea breeze this afternoon.
Easterly winds prevail and become breezy at times.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  88  68  88  68 /  20  10  10   0
FMY  88  67  89  68 /  10   0  20   0
GIF  87  66  89  66 /  20   0  20   0
SRQ  88  67  87  66 /  20  10  10   0
BKV  88  62  90  61 /  30  10  10   0
SPG  88  71  88  70 /  20  10  10   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$