Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
581 (Milton),
US Major:
581 (Milton),
FL Any:
581 (Milton),
FL Major:
581 (Milton)
Update
AFD
Area Forecast Discussion — Mon Apr 6, 2026 2:48 PM
AFDCHS
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston SC
233 PM EDT Mon Apr 6 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Most sections updated.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
- 1) High pressure will maintain mostly dry conditions this
week, with an elevated fire danger.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: High pressure will maintain mostly dry
conditions this week, with an elevated fire danger.
Strong high pressure will continue to build from the northwest
through the week with mainly dry conditions. The exception will
be a few showers along the GA coast through tonight, and then
possible coastal showers Wed-Fri along the SC/GA coast as a weak
coastal trough develops.
An elevated fire danger is expected this week due to dipping
afternoon RH values and gusty northeast winds. Conditions are
not quite to Red Flag criteria but we could need Fire Danger
Statements some days.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Gusty NE winds will settle down late this afternoon, then breezy
conditions again expected during the day Tuesday.
Extended Aviation Outlook: VFR, with breezy NE winds Wednesday and
Thursday.
&&
.MARINE...
Persistent moderate NE winds will continue through the week,
with seas steadily building. Solid Gales begin Tuesday afternoon
or evening and continue through early Thursday morning during
the period of tightest gradient. We upgraded the existing Gale
Watches to Gale Warnings with this package and issued a Small
Craft Advisory for Charleston Harbor starting late Tuesday
evening.
Rip Currents: Increasing NE winds and building swells will
result in a Moderate risk for rip currents along the SC coast
on Tuesday with a High risk along the GA coast. Wednesday and
likely into Thursday we anticipate a High risk for all beaches.
High Surf: High surf and beach erosion could impact the beaches
Wednesday through Friday as seas build 8+ feet over the coastal
waters. High Surf Advisories may be needed.
&&
.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...High Risk for Rip Currents from Tuesday morning through Tuesday
evening for GAZ117-119-139-141.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight Tuesday night to 8 PM EDT
Thursday for AMZ330.
Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT Tuesday night for
AMZ350-352-354.
Gale Warning from midnight Tuesday night to 2 AM EDT Thursday
for AMZ350-352-354.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ374.
Gale Warning from 2 PM Tuesday to 2 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ374.
&&
$$
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