Update AFD Area Forecast Discussion — Tue Apr 7, 2026 12:39 PM

AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1124 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1048 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

 - Red Flag Warning for the western Florida Panhandle due to fire
   weather concerns today. Gusty winds and dry air combined with
   the ongoing severe to extreme drought will present dangerous
   fire conditions for much of the area, greatest across the
   western Florida Panhandle.

 - HIGH rip current risk for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida
   beaches through Friday. High surf with 4-6ft breakers are
   likely Wednesday and Thursday.

 - Strong marine winds and high seas continue over the Gulf waters
   through Thursday with gusts to gale-force expected over the
   offshore waters on Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1048 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Even without any precipitation it still remains a rather busy
period for weather impacts across coastal and marine areas this
week. A strengthening pressure gradient across the area in
association with strong high pressure to the east will help set
the stage for strong, gusty winds across at least the southern
half of the area today through Thursday. This will help generate
high surf and dangerous life- threatening rip currents for coastal
communities of Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. A High
Surf Advisory goes into effect Wednesday morning through Thursday
morning as surf heights build in the 4 to 6 foot range. The High
Risk for rip currents is now in effect for all beaches across the
Alabama and western Florida Panhandle coast. This was upgraded
today based on beach reports of strong rip currents, and will
continue through Thursday night. A Red Flag warning was also
issued for this afternoon due to the presence of dangerous fire
conditions across the western Florida Panhandle. More on this can
be found in the Fire Weather section of the AFD below.

Outside of all that, the forecast remains dry as temperatures
rebound back to above normal for the foreseeable future. Highs in
the upper 70`s through midweek become lower to middle 80`s late
week into the weekend. Lows generally stay in the lower to middle
50`s most nights. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the forecast period. Northeasterly
winds will increase through the morning with occasional gusts to
20 knots. Winds gradually turn easterly through the day. 07/mb

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1048 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Strong offshore flow continues to turn easterly this afternoon into
tonight. Moderate to very strong easterly winds will persist through
Thursday, gradually tapering to a light to moderate easterly flow
Thursday night into Friday. A Gale Warning goes into effect for the
open Gulf waters out 20 to 60 nm beginning late Tuesday night.
MM/25

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1048 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Potential for dangerous burning conditions will exist today
owing to gusty easterly to northeasterly winds coupled with dry
antecedent drought conditions. Wind gusts will likely reach the
20 to 25 mph range with sustained winds around 10 to 15 mph this
afternoon. Relative humidity values are expected to drop into the
20 to 25 percent range across the western Florida Panhandle, with
around 25 percent elsewhere. The potential for dangerous fire
conditions and rapid growth will exist across most areas, with the
highest potential across the western Florida Panhandle today where
a Red Flag Warning is now in effect. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      55  76  56  78 /   0  10  10   0
Pensacola   58  75  58  77 /   0  10  20  10
Destin      58  74  57  75 /   0  20  20  10
Evergreen   50  75  50  77 /   0  10  10  10
Waynesboro  50  76  53  77 /   0   0  10  10
Camden      50  74  50  75 /   0  10  10  10
Crestview   51  75  52  78 /   0  10  20  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to 1 AM CDT Friday for
     ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to 1 AM CDT Friday for
     FLZ202-204-206.

     Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM CDT
     Thursday for GMZ650-655.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM CDT Wednesday for GMZ670-675.

     Gale Warning from 4 AM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ670-
     675.

&&

$$