Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
581 (Milton),
US Major:
581 (Milton),
FL Any:
581 (Milton),
FL Major:
581 (Milton)
Critical
HLS
Hurricane/Tropical Local Statment — Wed Aug 4, 2004 2:43 AM
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-041100-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
240 AM AST WED AUG 4 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO HEADING FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
...WATCHES...
AS OF 200 AM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OR LESS.
...AREA AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS PUERTO RICO SHOULD
MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON THE
LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
IN MIAMI. FUTURE FORECASTS AND CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE CONSIDERABLY AS
THIS WEATHER SCENARIO EVOLVES.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 200 AM AST...THE POORLY ORGANIZED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
NUMBER TWO WAS ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 59.7 WEST...OR ABOUT...45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
BARBADOS...OR ABOUT 435 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX OR ABOUT 470
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS OR ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN
JUAN.
THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 23 MPH...WITH THIS GENERAL
MOTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...BECOMING MORE WEST NORTHWEST
ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.
...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...POSSIBLY REACHING
TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS AND GUSTS. BASED ON THE LATEST
FORECAST TRACK...THE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF ST CROIX AND ALL THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR PUERTO
RICO...TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE ISLAND BY MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STROM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
HALF OF THE ISLAND BY THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DIMINISH
OVER WESTERN PUERTO RICO BY THURSDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...KEEP IN MIND
THAT WIND TIMING AND STRENGTH COULD CHANGE WITH FUTURE FORECASTS.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
SURF AND TIDES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND
THROUGH THE ANEGADA PASSAGE AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHERE SEAS MAY LIKELY REACH 8 TO 10 FEET AS THE
TROPICAL SYSTEM PASSES. SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR BEFORE NOON ON WEDNESDAY AND
REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING....WHILE SMALL CRAFT IN
PUERTO RICO SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. STORM TIDES OF ONE FOOT
OR LESS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS.
...RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL...
THE OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWEST FRINGES OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO SHOULD BEGIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SPREAD ACROSS PUERTO RICO LATER
WEDNESDAY EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN AS THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSES SOUTH OF ST CROIX WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO DURING
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF THURSDAY...WITH PERIODS OF TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF FIVE TO TEN INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.
RAPID RIVER RISES COULD OCCUR WITH SOME RIVERS EXCEEDING BANKFULL
DURING THURSDAY.
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM
TODAY BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN...PUERTO RICO.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO CAN BE
FOUND IN THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND
TROPICAL CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES.
...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS).
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
WWCA31 TJSJ 040640
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-041100-
BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
240 AM AST WED AUG 4 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO HEADING FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
...WATCHES...
AS OF 200 AM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS OR LESS.
...AREA AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS PUERTO RICO SHOULD
MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON THE
LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
IN MIAMI. FUTURE FORECASTS AND CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE CONSIDERABLY AS
THIS WEATHER SCENARIO EVOLVES.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 200 AM AST...THE POORLY ORGANIZED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
NUMBER TWO WAS ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 59.7 WEST...OR ABOUT...45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
BARBADOS...OR ABOUT 435 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX OR ABOUT 470
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS OR ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN
JUAN.
THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 23 MPH...WITH THIS GENERAL
MOTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...BECOMING MORE WEST NORTHWEST
ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.
...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...POSSIBLY REACHING
TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS AND GUSTS. BASED ON THE LATEST
FORECAST TRACK...THE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF ST CROIX AND ALL THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR PUERTO
RICO...TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE ISLAND BY MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STROM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
HALF OF THE ISLAND BY THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS SHOULD THEN DIMINISH
OVER WESTERN PUERTO RICO BY THURSDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...KEEP IN MIND
THAT WIND TIMING AND STRENGTH COULD CHANGE WITH FUTURE FORECASTS.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
SURF AND TIDES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND
THROUGH THE ANEGADA PASSAGE AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHERE SEAS MAY LIKELY REACH 8 TO 10 FEET AS THE
TROPICAL SYSTEM PASSES. SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR BEFORE NOON ON WEDNESDAY AND
REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING....WHILE SMALL CRAFT IN
PUERTO RICO SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. STORM TIDES OF ONE FOOT
OR LESS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS.
...RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL...
THE OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWEST FRINGES OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO SHOULD BEGIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SPREAD ACROSS PUERTO RICO LATER
WEDNESDAY EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN AS THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSES SOUTH OF ST CROIX WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO DURING
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF THURSDAY...WITH PERIODS OF TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF FIVE TO TEN INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.
RAPID RIVER RISES COULD OCCUR WITH SOME RIVERS EXCEEDING BANKFULL
DURING THURSDAY.
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM
TODAY BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN...PUERTO RICO.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER TWO CAN BE
FOUND IN THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND
TROPICAL CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES.
...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS).
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
WTNT32 KNHC 040540
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM AST WED AUG 04 2004
...POORLY-DEFINED TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPROACHING THE LESSER
ANTILLES...HEAVY SQUALLS WILL AFFECT THE ISLANDS TODAY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE
...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE
59.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 70 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
BARBADOS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST OF ST.
LUCIA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS OR SO. SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION ARE NOW
OCCURRING OVER BARBADOS...AND THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD OVER
OTHER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER THIS MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT MOVES
THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY. LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1000 FEET. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE
THE SYSTEM THIS MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.82 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...13.7 N... 59.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
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