F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 283 (Idalia) , Major: 283 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 283 (Idalia) Major: 283 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged:
Posts: 4545
Loc: Orlando, FL
Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again
      Sun Sep 11 2005 04:13 AM

8:45AM Update
Ophelia is still stationary, looking rather poor on satellite at the moment, but holding its own for now. It's still set for a glancing blow or perhaps more of a hit on the Eastern coast of Carolina, and there still remains a pretty good chance it will go out to sea.

If it makes landfall it will be at category 1 hurricane or strong tropical storm strength.

More to come as needed.


7:30AM Update
The forecast track for Ophelia has changed again, as well as intensity forecasts, for the better mostly. As this increases the chances for Ophelia to remain out to sea. The forecast track, however, still takes it over the outer banks, but the general trend has been northward over time. With slow moving systems, persistant trends are vital.

This means South Carolia is less likely to see a direct impact, North Carolina more likely (on the outer banks only, and chances are improving for an out to sea scenario (Which I still lean toward - mostly because of climatology and the elongation to the east shown on water vapor, however there is still plenty to keep the system more where it is so don't take that as gospel right now.).



Intensity wise, Ophelia has been taking shear and upwelling caused by the general slow motion of the system, and there just isn't anything around to make that change over the next few days. It may weaken, fluctuate, but I don't expect to see it gain strength.

Beyond Ophelia, it's suprisingly quiet in the Atlantic, a few disturbed areas, but nothing really to write about at the moment. If Ophelia were gone now it would be a great day in the Tropics.

Original Update
Hurricane Ophelia has stalled once again, this time the forecast track is set for North Carolina, showing how uncertain the track has been for the past few days.

There still are plenty of uncertanties with the current lack of motion, all areas in the cone will need to watch the system.

Hurricane watches are still up from the Savannah River to Cape Lookout in North Carolina.

Strength wise, Ophelia has managed to stay just over hurricane strength, but shear has kept it from growing stronger.


Image courtesy SkeetobiteWeather.com
Comments/Feedback on the maps look here.

Apologies for the brevity of updates over the last few days, I've been extremely busy with family issues. Hopefully soon more information will return.

Report conditions from Ophelia in your area In this thread

Katrina Discussions are in the Disaster Forum

Event Related Links
Radars, Satellite

Charleston, SC Long Range Radar
Wilmington, NC Long Range Radar
Morehead City, NC Long Range Radar

Color Sat of Gulf
RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms
Spaghetti Style model plots from Colorado State University

Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations)
Charleston, SC

Emergency Management:
State of Florida - Floridadisaster.org
Georgia Emergency Management
South Carolina Emergency Management

Ophelia

Animated model plots of Ophelia
Google Map Plot of Ophelia
Floater IR Satellite of Ophelia
Floater WV Satellite of Ophelia
Floater Visible Satellite of Ophelia

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again MikeCAdministrator Sun Sep 11 2005 04:13 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again NONAME   Sun Sep 11 2005 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again bigpapi   Sun Sep 11 2005 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again bigpapi   Sun Sep 11 2005 04:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again WisconsinWill   Sun Sep 11 2005 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 06:07 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 11 2005 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 11 2005 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again bigpapi   Sun Sep 11 2005 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 08:07 PM
. * * Ophelia's Movement Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 11 2005 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 11 2005 11:48 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement bigpapi   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:52 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement Hugh   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:05 AM
. * * ophelia in the middle seat HanKFranK   Mon Sep 12 2005 02:01 AM
. * * Could She? Ryan   Mon Sep 12 2005 02:54 AM
. * * Re: Could She? Clark   Mon Sep 12 2005 04:34 AM
. * * Re: Could She? bigpapi   Mon Sep 12 2005 07:01 PM
. * * 00z models HanKFranK   Mon Sep 12 2005 06:20 AM
. * * Re: 00z models Beaumont, TX   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:01 PM
. * * late sep/early oct HanKFranK   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:19 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct NewWatcher   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:36 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct GuppieGrouper   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:28 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:52 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct Random Chaos   Mon Sep 12 2005 09:53 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct Tantalus   Mon Sep 12 2005 08:31 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct Ed in Va   Mon Sep 12 2005 02:46 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct Ed in Va   Mon Sep 12 2005 05:04 PM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct B.C.Francis   Mon Sep 12 2005 05:38 PM
. * * Ophelia Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 12 2005 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Myles   Mon Sep 12 2005 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Ophelia Clark   Mon Sep 12 2005 11:30 PM
. * * Just a Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Sep 13 2005 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 13 2005 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia WisconsinWill   Tue Sep 13 2005 12:38 AM
. * * Re: late sep/early oct ralphfl   Mon Sep 12 2005 05:26 PM
. * * Re: 00z models Magic Hat   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:54 PM
. * * Re: 00z models Yikes   Mon Sep 12 2005 11:29 AM
. * * Re: 00z models Random Chaos   Mon Sep 12 2005 11:55 AM
. * * Re: 00z models J.C.   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:33 PM
. * * Re: 00z models Ed in Va   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:43 PM
. * * Re: 00z models J.C.   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:07 PM
. * * Re: 00z models Random Chaos   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:41 PM
. * * Re: 00z models Random Chaos   Mon Sep 12 2005 11:25 AM
. * * Re: Could She? twizted sizter   Mon Sep 12 2005 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement jusforsean   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement bigpapi   Mon Sep 12 2005 01:58 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement Hugh   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:17 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement GuppieGrouper   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:24 AM
. * * Re: Ophelia's Movement Hugh   Mon Sep 12 2005 12:29 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again emackl   Sun Sep 11 2005 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Hugh   Sun Sep 11 2005 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again CarolinaGurl   Sun Sep 11 2005 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again bigpapi   Sun Sep 11 2005 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ophelia Stalls Again Ryan   Sun Sep 11 2005 05:19 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 405 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 19639

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center