MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4544
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Troy you can put your email address in on the login screen and it should send you the password.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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I foung the " Area Forecats Discussion from TLH/MLB " link..well same info just at another link troy
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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Troy heres the link to floridas NWS discussions...
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/fl/discussion.html
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Joe
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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The bahamas system appears to have good outflow. Although latest ir sat loop shows thunderstorms decreasing there appears to be some building clouds again near center. With a reported pressure of 1008mb this could be are next TD before the days over with. Quick Scat winds show winds about 30 kts with this area.
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Joe
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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TD#5 AT 5PM!!!
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MikeC
Admin
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Loc: Orlando, FL
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Aye, the low in the Southeastern Bahamas may be another to deal with if TD#5 doesn't do much. We may be dealing with two systems in quick sucession on the East coast...
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Alex k
Unregistered
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If the low near the bahamas (94L) is becoming a depression, than the east coast from florida to North Carolina MUST keep an eye out. While I doubt that it will become anything stronger than a tropical storm, it will make going to the beach along the Southeast coast require careful planning. I'm trying not to be a doomsayer; I'm just saying that especially this weekend, vacationers should be careful.
Whenever I think of labor day, I tend to remember people in Massachusets boarding up their houses in case of Hurricane Edouard. The hurricane ended up swinging to the east missing Long Island and Cape Cod, but now I will always connect Labor Day with hurricanes.
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Joe....have they posted any information on TD#5 such as windspeed, direction etc? Or just that it's formed? Wow. That was fast.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Good points about beach safety. I noticed on the Monterey Page that they took down the coordinates off the visibles in just the last few minutes. It was 28.0N/74.0W.
Well, this should prove to be an interesting weekend...and don't forget, this storm (if it continues westward) will be crossing the Gulfstream, which could cause a rapid intensification to happen.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
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Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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Outflow of storm looks great. Convection on the wane. Let's see overnight if the convection really blossoms or the warmer water in front of it helps it blossom.
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Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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If it is at 28N 74 W, that would be 430 miles due east of Melbourne.
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Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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Kevin
Weather Master
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Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
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Everyone along the U.S. East Coast, especially Florida, MUST keep a very close eye on TD 5 tomorrow. Normally this woudln't be a big thing...but with many nutcases on the roads (drunks included), we could be in for a rough Labor Day Weekend. I'm not so sure about wind speed yet...model guidence should tell us a little more tongiht when the runs come out. Winds could get as high as 70-85 mph. I know that this may be overdoing it, but the depression is going to go over the Gulf Stream. The upper-level conditions look ideal, too. We may just get a surprise out of this one. My first forecast will be around 10-midnight as I am headed out to a theme park (good to get that done now  ).
Kevin
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Yes, that is now back up on the visible picture from the page. However, I do not know if that is just a guesstimate or the actual center. I have not received an update from the about TD#5...was this an error?
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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And just to keep us on our toes....Dolly is now heading west at 20knts. No change in strength.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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SirCane
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 249
Loc: Pensacola, FL
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What do you all think? I remember Erin forming around this area.
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Direct Hits:
Hurricane Erin (1995) 100 mph
Hurricane Opal (1995) 115 mph
Hurricane Ivan (2004) 130 mph
Hurricane Dennis (2005) 120 mph
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4544
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Not TD#5, it was looking as if it might, but the later scans by the HH aircraft made it just under TD strength. We'll be watching it though. TD Tonight or Tomorrow.
It is Moving WNW around 10MPH
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Joe
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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Well decidied to hold off on TD#5 for now. But maybe made late tonight or tomorrow.
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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You know, that's very strange because the HH found SUSTAINED winds of 60mph and low pressure (this was all reported by ) but when they went back in again, the pressures were up. I guess they are waiting to see if it holds together before jumping the gun. I think that's a good idea.
However, I still think it will be classified later on tonight.
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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look in sotheast bahamas strong storms forming there. and off africa have large storm coming off, already has banding and good outflow.
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Kevin
Weather Master
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Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
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TWC was reporting winds of 60 (gusts) and 1008 mb pressure, BUT this was the last vortex data message from CHRISTOBAL! Ooops...typical stupidity.
Also...the 5:30 PM says 94L disturbance is moving northwest...but I've watched the satellite imagery from the past few hours. The loop showed a west-northwest movement, if any at all. A very slow moving due to weak steering currents. I still believe it will be depression...and I still believe Florida is the bull's eye.
Also, Dolly is flying west again, but this was not supposed to happen. If this height breakdown isn't as strong as models predicted, with Dolly being so weak, well...
Any thoughts on 94L's movement now and into the future?
Kevin
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