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The Atlantic is quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
TS Estelle
      #20585 - Fri Aug 20 2004 12:52 PM

TS Estelle has formed in the EPAC; 2 other Invests also up. Does this portend Atlantic development in a week to 10 days?

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Keith234
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Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: TS Estelle [Re: LI Phil]
      #20586 - Fri Aug 20 2004 12:59 PM

Yes, I do feel this could portend to what could happen in the Altantic in 5-10 days, if this is related with the MJO.

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Jamiewx
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upcoming busy period [Re: Keith234]
      #20611 - Fri Aug 20 2004 10:29 PM

I could agree with that too, NAO forecast to go postive in the short term, perhaps explaining the brief quiet period, but forecast to go negative again end of august, and with MJO's arrival, i think things could erupt soon. Western pacific also busy and with the tropical storm in eastern pacific about to cross 140 W into the central pacific, this pattern will be shifting into the Atlantic, and with the climatological height of the season approaching, all signs point to an upcoming busy period.

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