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Invest #90L now up to 60% ch of development (NHC). Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings may be issued later today. Extreme rainfall and flooding, regardless.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 614 (Milton), US Major: 614 (Milton), FL Any: 614 (Milton), FL Major: 614 (Milton)

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wxman007
Meteorologist

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Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL

Things Getting Organized?

#36118 - Mon Jun 06 2005 09:04 AM

From the HPC Final Extended Discussion...

....ATLC TROPICS...
TDAS MODEL RUNS MUCH MORE EMPHATIC ON POTENTIAL TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT IN THE CARRIBEAN BASIN MID TO LATE WEEK. AND
UKMET PREFER WRN CARIB WHERE CURRENTLY WIDESPREAD CONVECTION HAS
INCREASED ON BOTH SIDE OF LOWER CENTRAL AMERICA. MODELS TAKE A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON A NWWD TRACK INTO THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL BY NEXT WEEKEND..A PREFERRED SOLUTION BY TPC/HPC
COORDINATION TAKING A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NW. EWD A
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EAST CARRIBEAN BASIN IS PREFERRED BY AND
CANADIAN TO LIFT NWD BRINGING POTENTIAL FOR SOME HVY RAINFALL TO
THE ERN GREATER ANTILLES. 06Z AND RUNS LIKE BOTH OF
THESE SOLUTIONS.

Looks like the Caribbean and GOM are getting primed for some action...this does bear watching, even though nothing has developed quite yet.

--------------------
Jason Kelley

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